My View: Arizona’s 2024 economic trajectory includes balance of precaution, optimism


As business leaders prepare for the start of a new year, the nation’s economic landscape is a Picassoesque composition of nuanced optimism and prudent caution. From stock market instability to Federal Reserve interest rate speculation, most of 2023 was marked by economic uncertainty, and predictions on where the chips will fall by this time next year remain modest.But despite the fragile confidence seen across the U.S., Arizona’s economy, bolstered by its uniquely resilient attributes, offers a slightly sunnier outlook, though one not without pitfalls. So, with 2023 largely in the rear view, where should industry leaders set their sights? And what new opportunities loom on the horizon in 2024?Similar to national predictions, Arizona’s economic forecast anticipates inflationary cooling, which likely lends itself to a soft landing rather than previous expectations of a hard and fast fall. This notable absence of an imminent recession serves as a beacon of stability – certainly a different position than widely anticipated last year. Even so, the cautious air enveloping economic sentiment underscores the delicacy of this balance.Specific to Arizona, a couple of strengths stand out:Diversified commerce: Arizona’s economy today is significantly diverse and not as dependent on residential real estate, retail and service establishments as it was less than 20 years ago. Even with expected challenges in the commercial real estate market, …

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